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Macroeconomic forecasting method fusing Weibo sentiment analysis and deep learning
ZHAO Junhao, LI Yuhua, HUO Lin, LI Ruixuan, GU Xiwu
Journal of Computer Applications    2018, 38 (11): 3057-3062.   DOI: 10.11772/j.issn.1001-9081.2018041346
Abstract548)      PDF (994KB)(677)       Save
The rapid development of modern market economy is accompanied by higher risks. Forecasting regional investment in advance can find investment risks in advance so as to provide reference for investment decisions of countries and enterprises. Aiming at the lag of statistical data and the complexity of internal relations in macroeconomic forecasting, a prediction method of Long Short-Term Memory based on Weibo Sentiment Analysis (SA-LSTM) was proposed. Firstly, considering the strong timeliness of Weibo texts, a method of Weibo text crawling and sentiment analysis was determined to obtain Weibo text sentiment propensity scores. Then total investment in the region was forecasted by combing with structured economic indicators government statistics and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. The experimental results in four actual datasets show that SA-LSTM can reduce the relative error of prediction by 4.95, 0.92, 1.21 and 0.66 percentage points after merging Weibo sentiment analysis. Compared with the best method in the four methods of AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average model (ARIMA), Linear Regression (LR), Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN), and LSTM, SA-LSTM can significantly reduce the relative error of prediction by 0.06, 0.92, 0.94 and 0.66 percentage points. In addition, the variance of the prediction relative error is the smallest, indicating that the proposed method has good robustness and good adaptability to data jitter.
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Model to allocate network resources based on equilibrium
CHEN Zhi-qi, SU De-fu, HUO Lin
Journal of Computer Applications    2005, 25 (05): 1187-1189.   DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1087.2005.1187
Abstract994)      PDF (156KB)(672)       Save
A distributed microeconomic flow control technique based on equilibrium was presented, which modeled the network as competitive markets. In these markets resource owners (switches) priced their resources (link bandwidth) based on supply and demand and users purchased resources so as to maximize their individual Quality of Service(QoS). In this paper, the ideas from Game Theory were used to study the interaction of peers, and a flow control technique incentive scheme was proposed to improve the performance of the system and manage network resources fairly and efficiently. Simulation results were given as well.
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